Calibration Is Not Verification: Falsifiability-Aware Conformal Routing for Mixture-of-Agents
3.60T1 sourcearXiv cs.MA
Source record
Published by arXiv cs.MA (T1 source). The original is at https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.25959.
Pipeline notes
The summary and note below are generated by the signal pipeline — they are Beyond Desk’s reading, not quotations from the source.
SummaryPaper introduces C-MoA, an agreement-based conformal filter that converts inter-agent semantic support into a claim-level nonconformity score, raising retained-claim precision on long-form generation from 0.41 to 0.75 and transferring across domains. CONTRA-MoA adds a blinded near-miss tournament, leave-one-agent-out stability, and availability-aware fusion, halving false medical claims at 0.940 precision when the verifier has domain knowledge.
Why it mattersGives concrete numbers and a deployable gating method for multi-agent factuality, and is unusually explicit about where consensus-only signals fail.
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